GAD Government Actuary's Department

Projections database

‘Full’ population projections by age and sex for the United Kingdom and constituent countries are produced every two years. These sets of projections are based on a review of all the underlying assumptions regarding fertility, mortality and net migration. The current set of projections are 2010-based and were published on 26 October 2011 by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Full details of this set of projections can be accessed from the National Statistics website.

In the intervening year between full projections, special sets of ‘interim’ projections may be produced. This database includes two sets (2001-based and 2003-based) of interim projections. The 2010-based projections replace the 2008-based population projections published in October 2009.

All national projections since the 1998-based set to the 2006-based set were made available online on the GAD website at the time of their publication. In October 2006, this database of past national projections was extended back to the first set produced by GAD in 1954. Click the link for further details.

ONS published 2008-based population projections by marital status for England & Wales on 24 June 2010. For further details please click the link.

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